Labour May Just Owe Tizard An Apology

Labour's Kim Kardashian is turning into a Glue pony.

The publicity machine has been cranked up yet again around Labour's Kim Kardashian. Apparently she slashed Nikki Kaye's majority and performed brilliantly in Auckland Central. So much so that she's been touted already as front-bench material in a Labour reshuffle.

But really, did she do so well on Saturday?? Let me debunk yet another myth about Labour's prize trophy girl.

Based on election night results we can already compare how their rising star performed compared with Judith Tizard, a woman whom Labour threw to the hounds by talking her out of returning on the list and relegating her with derogatory remarks.

In 2008 the vote count with a 1,497 majority in favour of Nikki Kaye was as follows

Kaye 14,677 or 42.91%

Tizard 13,180 or 38.53%

Roche 4,592 or 13.43%

And list vote

National 14,112 or 40.08%

Labour 12,166 or 34.55%

Greens 5,446 or 15.47%

In 2011 the vote count on election night with a 535 majority was:

Kaye 12,358 or 45.17%

Ardern 11,823 or 43.21%

Roche 2,188 or 8%

And list vote

National 11,754 or 42.96%

Labour 7,125 or 26.04%

Greens 6,024 or 22.02%

Nikki Kaye actually increased her percentage share of the electorate vote in Auckland Central despite the Green's Denise Roche pleading on television and all over the electorate in an MMP dirty deal for their supporters to vote for Ardern in 2011. And Ardern herself sending this out stating that there are "only two candidates in Auckland Central asking for your electorate vote". Kaye also increased National's share of the list vote. Whereas Ardern barely scratched to match Labour's total percentage.

In 2008 the Greens didn't openly assist at all and Tizard was allegedly deserted by her own supporters but with specials to count, Tizard is outpolling on raw numbers against Ardern 13,180 to 11,823. Even if on specials Ardern passes this mark it is quite clear the vote swapping that was orchestrated in the Labour-Greens dirty deal. Kaye has kicked her arse all over the electorate.

Of more importance, Ardern, in an effort to win the seat for herself by co-operation with the Greens oversaw a disastrous plummet in Labour list vote from Tizard's 12,166 (34.55%) to Ardern's 7,125 (26.04%). Such tactics nationwide of candidate over party largely attributed to Labour not picking up extra MP's and pressuring the National lead.

Labour therefore owe Judith Tizard a huge apology.

If their own rising star in Ardern with a hand of the Greens cannot beat Tizard's last performance in 2008 it tells you that the only difference between the two Labour ladies is good publicity and a hell of a lot of window dressing from adoring colleagues and party hacks.

Under closer analysis I can conclude once again that Labour's Kim Kardashian is underperforming, over-rated and being pumped as the future of the Labour Party when in fact she's just very average and no Helen Clark that's for sure.

She's not even a Judy T on this racing form.

Ardern's best hope is to secure Phil Goff's seat nomination in Mt Roskill or even go bludge Rongotai off soon departing Deputy Leader Annette King.

Or in a miraculous turnaround on the special votes.

Doing worse than Judith Tizard in a seat is not career enhancing.